LM
LITHIA MOTORS INC (LAD)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 delivered record revenue of $9.18B (+7% YoY) and GAAP diluted EPS of $7.94 (+35% YoY); adjusted diluted EPS was $7.66 (+25% YoY) .
- Versus S&P Global consensus, revenue modestly missed by ~$0.11B (−1.1%) and Primary EPS missed by ~$0.21 (−2.7%); GAAP EPS would have been a small beat, but S&P tracks “Primary EPS” as normalized/adjusted for LAD [Values retrieved from S&P Global].
- Operating execution improved: adjusted SG&A/GP fell 120 bps YoY to 68.2%; days’ supply reduced to 43 (new) and 45 (used); DFC originations reached $623M with NIM at 4.6% .
- Capital returns accelerated: dividend increased 4% to $0.55 and ~403K shares were repurchased (1.7% of shares) at a $326 average; authorization remaining ~$669M .
- Call tone constructive: management highlighted tariff resilience, SG&A trajectory toward mid-50s over time, and balanced deployment (near-term buybacks, ~$2B acquired revs in 2025) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- SG&A discipline and cost control: adjusted SG&A/GP fell to 68.2% (−120 bps YoY) and same-store to ~67% (−150 bps YoY), with a path toward 65.5%–67.5% in 2025 .
- Financing operations profitability and NIM expansion: DFC income of $12.5M, originations $623M, NIM 4.6% (up 117 bps YoY; +7 bps QoQ), portfolio ~$4.06B average managed receivables .
- Aftersales strength: same-store aftersales gross profit +7.5% YoY; margin up to 57.8%; warranty gross profit +19.7% YoY; management: “we did have a pretty good lift this quarter in terms of labor… over 57% margin” .
Quotes:
- CEO: “Our strong first quarter performance reflects the power of our integrated ecosystem… we achieved profitable growth year over year in each month this quarter” .
- CFO: “We’re on track to achieve same-store SG&A in the range of 65.5% to 67.5%” .
- CEO on tariffs: “We have about 45% of our inventory that’s not impacted… the most diversified and the least impacted” .
What Went Wrong
- Revenue and Primary EPS slightly below S&P consensus (normalized EPS basis); revenue $9.18B vs $9.28B consensus and Primary EPS $7.66 vs $7.87 consensus [Values retrieved from S&P Global].
- New vehicle GPUs normalized YoY: new GPU $3,016 (−12.5% YoY); gross margin fell to 6.3% (−110 bps YoY) as industry mix normalized .
- Used wholesale revenue and GPUs weaker: wholesale revenue −2% YoY; total vehicle GPU −4.2% YoY to $4,164; same-store total vehicle GPU −3.2% YoY to $4,301 .
Analyst concerns:
- SG&A seasonality vs Q4: sequential pickup exceeded typical seasonality; clarification provided (seasonality and Pinewood fair value in Other income) .
- Macrotariff uncertainties and potential demand lumpiness later in the year, though management expects resilience via affordability mix and OEM pricing actions .
Financial Results
Headline vs Estimates (Q1 2025)
Note: S&P Global’s Primary EPS for LAD aligns to normalized/adjusted EPS; LAD’s GAAP diluted EPS was $7.94 .
*Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Quarterly Trend (oldest → newest)
YoY Comparison (Q1 2025 vs Q1 2024)
Segment Breakdown (Q1 2025)
KPIs and Mix (Q1 2025)
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategy and execution: “We are single-minded in our goals, unlocking the profitability of the life cycle by creating customer loyalty… delivering on our core strength, execution” .
- SG&A trajectory: “Drop about 7 bps out of the model each and every month starting in the second half of this year… pathway to mid-50s SG&A range” .
- Tariff resilience: “We have about 45% of our inventory that’s not impacted… the most diversified and the least impacted” .
- Capital allocation: “Repurchased 1.7% of our outstanding shares… will focus our share buybacks in the near term given market pricing dynamics” .
- DFC scaling: “Each loan originated by DFC contributes up to 3x more profitability than traditional indirect lending” .
Q&A Highlights
- Tariffs and demand: OEM pricing clarity through at least May; LAD expects resilience via affordability mix across brands and channels .
- SG&A path: Seasonal step-up Q1; long-term SG&A reductions via personnel productivity, vendor consolidation (Pinewood), and interest cost efficiencies .
- DFC funding: Q1 ABS oversubscribed; term market choppy; warehouse capacity ample to bridge timing .
- Used/value autos: Strong value auto momentum; strategy to retain older/off-brand vehicles to capture high-turn, high-ROIC sales .
- Regional profitability: Southeast/South Central roughly double net profit/revenue vs SW/NW due to regulatory/fee structures; recent GP strength in NW/SW .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus (Primary EPS, normalized) and revenue slightly missed; GAAP EPS ($7.94) would imply a small beat vs EPS consensus ($7.87), but S&P’s Primary EPS aligns to adjusted EPS (actual $7.66). Street likely to revise models toward higher GAAP EPS, with normalized EPS sensitive to non-core items (Pinewood FV, disposals, insurance reserves) [Values retrieved from S&P Global] .
Where estimates may adjust:
- Normalize EPS trajectory: potential upward adjustments to GAAP EPS durability; normalized EPS may be trimmed modestly near-term to reflect non-core impacts and GPU normalization [Values retrieved from S&P Global] .
- DFC contributions: rising NIM and originations support modest upward adjustments to financing ops profitability embedded in models .
- SG&A: improved execution and vendor/interest savings can underpin medium-term margin revisions .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Execution over optics: despite slight consensus misses on normalized EPS and revenue, the operational cadence (days’ supply, SG&A, aftersales, DFC) is improving and more durable .
- Dividend and buybacks as support: 4% dividend hike and sizable buybacks (1.7% in Q1) are tangible capital return catalysts; authorization increased to ~$669M .
- Tariff hedge via mix: 45% of inventory insulated; affordability-first product strategy (value autos, leasing) and OEM actions reduce downside risk from tariffs .
- Financing ops as a growth vector: NIM expansion and ABS access point to rising adjacency profitability; longer-term DFC penetration to 20% can structurally lift EPS .
- SG&A structural path: pathway to mid-50s SG&A/GP via productivity, Pinewood, vendor consolidation, and interest cost reduction—key medium-term margin driver .
- Regional profitability matters: exposure to higher net profit regions and fee structures is a persistent advantage; watch the improving GP in NW/SW .
- Near-term deployment: M&A pacing to ~$2B this year; buybacks prioritized given relative valuation, providing EPS support while macro normalizes .
Citations:
- Q1 2025 8-K earnings release, financials, KPIs, dividend/buybacks .
- Q1 2025 earnings call transcript (strategy, SG&A, tariffs, DFC, regional trends, leasing, value autos) ; alt transcript corroboration .
- Q4 2024 8-K (prior quarter trend, dividend) .
- Q3 2024 8-K (two quarters prior trend) .
- Estimates: S&P Global consensus and actuals (Primary EPS, Revenue) [Values retrieved from S&P Global].